AHMA Confidence Index Declined in August

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Manufacturers also express their opinion on new EPA regulations and immigration reform.

Schaumburg, Illinois, September 3, 2014 — The American Hardware Manufacturers Association’s AHMA Home Improvement Industry Confidence Index’s Current Situation Index declined in August to 294.1 from 320.8 in July (August 2008 = 100), while the Future Expectations Index also declined to 192.7 from 266.5 in July.

In comparing current sales levels to year-ago levels, 71 percent of respondents said sales were higher in August versus year-ago levels, down from 77 percent in July.  For August, 24 percent reported sales were even, and six percent said sales were below year-ago levels.

Looking forward six months, 53 percent of August respondents said they expect sales to be above current levels, down from 73 percent in July.  In August, 35 percent of respondents said they expect sales to be even in six months and 12 percent expect sales to be below current levels.

Looking forward one year, 59 percent of respondents project sales will be higher, down from 82 percent who felt that way in July.  Thirty-five percent of August respondents project sales will be even one year from now and six percent project sales will be below current levels.

Timothy S. Farrell, President and Chief Executive Officer of the American Hardware Manufacturers Association (AHMA), said:  “While the confidence index has declined for two consecutive months, we remain encouraged by the fact that 71% of our responding members report sales in August above year-ago levels.  With recent reports showing a decline in new home sales and a reduction in consumer spending, it is understandable that hardware manufacturers have a cautious outlook regarding the prospects for overall economic growth and sales going forward.”

“Hot Topic” Questions

The August Confidence Index survey asked two supplemental questions of AHMA members:

“Do you think new EPA regulations on greenhouse gas and ozone standards are necessary?” and “How important is it to your business that new immigration reform legislation is passed?”

To the first question, on new EPA regulations, 12 percent responded “Yes,” 24 percent responded “Not Sure,” and 65 percent responded “No.”

On the immigration question, 18 percent responded “Very important,” 35 percent responded “Somewhat important,” and 47 percent responded “Not important.”

About the AHMA Home Improvement Industry Confidence Index

The AHMA Home Improvement Industry Confidence Index is a monthly indicator of the economic health and “mood” of the industry based on a survey of AHMA members.

The data collected from the survey produces two Indexes indicating:  1) Current Situation and  2) Future Expectations.  Both Indexes use survey data from August 2008 as the base reference point so that August 2008 = 100.

The AHMA Home Improvement Industry Confidence Index results are released on the first Wednesday of every month.

Results of the Index survey are viewable online here: http://www.ahma.org/ConfidenceIndex/CurrentResults    

About the American Hardware Manufacturers Association (AHMA)

AHMA is a globally focused trade association of manufacturers, or providers, of hardware, home improvement, lawn and garden, paint and decorating, building and construction and related products, as well as manufacturers’ representative’s agencies and trade publications.

AHMA offers many valuable member and industry programs, services and activities, including the AHMA Hardlines Technology Forum, AHMA / USA International Pavilions, AHMA Advantage GPO, the AHMA eAGLE, The Hard Fax: Home Improvement Industry News, The Hard Fax International: Home Improvement Industry News from Around the World, the Home Improvement Industry Confidence Index, the AHMA Home Improvement Industry Dashboard, AHMA Home Improvement Industry Stocks, the AHMA Home Improvement Industry Calendar, the AHMA Home Improvement Industry Network on LinkedIn, AHMA News on Twitter, Government Relations Programs, Member Benefit Vendor Programs, the AHMA Hardware Industry Relief Effort (HIRE) and the AHMA / Habitat for Humanity Partnership.

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