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Date: May 11 2011 Editor: QYResearch News Center

As of May 11,2011,according IMS data，2011Q1 global pv module output first time decline 10% than 2010Q1 since 2009. the core reason for the hesitation of Italy subsidies led to installation of almost stagnant, Also led to the total inventory of global pv module in April 2011 reached a record of 10GW (channel operators and manufacturers inventory), and in May 2011, Italy has finally announced the subsidy policy, but it is not easy to achieve a high development as 2010, and Japan Market due to the earthquake causes the amount of production and installation are likely to slow down or delay increase. current good performance place may be only other places outside of Japan and Europe, such as the United States and China, while the U.S. itself is GW-level market, so are high hopes for the industry However, the actual performance of the actual data still need to confirm by the market. Chinese market has a similar situation, being only just passed a quarter, as the summer comes, the market may be another outbreak of installed capacity, then we can more accurately predict the year 2011 Performance, until now most of the bodies still expect the global installed capacity in 2011 will increase. its annual growth rate of about 15%.

As of May 11, 2011 market price of polysilicon in China began to fall (about 80 U.S. dollars / kg), despite the decline in small, but represents the price of loose, while the second quarter of 2011, stocks need time to digest, so prices decline will continue, and some cell and module silicon wafer inventory to start selling at low price (on sale), so prices have dropped in the space. At the same time as many companies to grasp a better polysilicon production technology and cost control, and with the continued expansion of polysilicon production projects and the expansion of the scale, the future price of polysilicon could be reduced to a reasonable level of profit (about 30-40 U.S. dollars / kg ), with the various sectors of the downstream industry will drop to about 40% lower than the current level, so the cost of photovoltaic power generation will also be present from China 1 yuan / kWh down to the future about 0.5-0.6 yuan / kilowatt-hour, similar to the current level of wind power in China, considering the thermal pollution problem, in fact, already has a very good competitive advantage than fire power. So for long term seeing, solar energy is still very good.

Chinese wind power market in the first quarter of 2011, in addition to the huge price drop, prompting reshuffle crisis facing the whole industry chain, in addition to large enterprises owned small profitsby by scale advantages, many small and medium enterprises are facing out of market crisis, with this state continues, many small businesses will face a host shutdown and could not continue operations, while some large enterprises are also a number of projects a competitive disadvantage, and therefore the corresponding large-scale enterprises to promote the overall supply chain companies have greater impact, in general, wind power supply chain, the whole product range of the existence of different prices fell, while prices of some chemicals is still increasing, therefore, the overall wind power industrial chain to promote all aspects of a certain profit margin compression, but also further promote the decline in the cost of wind power, in addition to equipment outside the manufacturing sector, and grid connection problems continued to plague the development of wind power industry, from 2011 a lot of smart grid network and related equipment companies continue to develop related equipment, to provide better services for the wind power grid connection, as these forces going on, grid connection problems will be alleviated, which further drive the development of wind power industry, in general, the Chinese wind power market as a whole they will continue to increase, but growth rate will slow.

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Li Jing
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