The opening stage of the Ukraine crisis is over. President Viktor Yanukovych has been forced from power by pro-democracy protestors and an interim government has been formed in Kiev. Russia has invaded Crimea, and its troops have been occupying the region for almost two weeks. After the tumultuous events of recent months, a degree of stability – albeit fragile – appears to be returning to the country.
The next stage, however, is about to begin. On Sunday 16 March, Crimea will host a referendum on the region’s future. Although the referendum – the date for which has already been bought forward twice – has already been rejected by both Kiev and the West for being unconstitutional, it is significant for what it represents: an attempt by Russia to legalise its annexation of another country’s sovereign territory. With the increasing likelihood of serious Western sanctions being imposed as well, it is clear that the crisis may yet escalate.
By kind invitation of Damian Collins MP,The All-Party Parliamentary Group on Transatlantic & International Security is pleased to invite you to a discussion with Sir Andrew Wood GCMG, Former British Ambassador to Russia; Dr. Timothy Snyder, Bird White Housum Professor of History at Yale University; Andy Hunder, Director of the Ukrainian Institute in London; and Dr. Andrew Foxall, Director of the Russia Studies Centre at The Henry Jackson Society. The speakers will be debating Ukraine’s future after the Crimea referendum. If Crimea votes to join Russia – whether by fair means or foul given the likelihood of vote rigging if past Russian elections are any guide – what options are available for Ukraine to regain its territorial integrity, and for the West to respond to Russian aggression? Will Russia even accept Crimea into the Federation? What does Russia gain from Crimea and is this its end game, or do plans exist for further land seizures in Eastern Ukraine? And what does this tell us about Vladimir Putin and the direction of Russia’s foreign policy?
Sir Andrew Wood GCMG was in the British Diplomatic Service from 1961 to 2000, and was Ambassador to Yugoslavia 1985-1989, and Moldova and Russia 1995-2000. He is currently Associate Fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Programme at Chatham House.
He has acted as advisor to a number of Western companies since then, including ITE, and been a member of a number of Boards.
He is an Associate Fellow of the Royal Institute of International Affairs, and co-author with Lilia Shevtsova of a recent book, Change or Decay – Russia’s Dilemma and the West’s Response.
Dr. Timothy Snyder is the Bird White Housum Professor of History at Yale University.
He received his doctorate from the University of Oxford in 1997, where he was a British Marshall Scholar. Before joining the faculty at Yale in 2001, he held fellowships in Paris and Vienna, and an Academy Scholarship at Harvard.
He is the author of five award-winning books, including: Nationalism, Marxism, and Modern Central Europe: A Biography of Kazimierz Kelles-Krauz (Harvard Press, 1998); The Reconstruction of Nations: Poland, Ukraine, Lithuania, Belarus, 1569-1999 (Yale Press, 2003); Sketches from a Secret War: A Polish Artist’s Mission to Liberate Soviet Ukraine (Yale Press, 2005); The Red Prince: The Secret Lives of A Habsburg Archduke (Basic Books, 2008). He is also the co-editor of two books Wall Around the West: State Power and Immigration Controls in Europe and North America (Rowman and Littlefield, 2001) and Stalin and Europe: War, Terror, Domination (forthcoming).
In 2010 he published Bloodlands: Europe Between Hitler and Stalin, a history of Nazi and Soviet mass killing on the lands between Berlin and Moscow. It has received a number of honours, including the Leipzig Prize for European Understanding and the Ralph Waldo Emerson Award in the Humanities. It was named a book of the year by some dozen publications, has been translated into more than twenty languages, and was a bestseller in four countries.
Most recently he helped Tony Judt to compose a thematic history of political ideas and intellectuals in politics, Thinking the Twentieth Century, published by Penguin in February 2012.
Andy Hunder is the Director of the Ukrainian Institute in London. He is a native Londoner, who over the past nearly two decades has become a recognised leading expert in Public Affairs, Communications and Government Relations in Ukraine.
In 1997 Andy was a TV presenter on the leading Ukrainian television channel Inter. For seven years he headed the Public Relations department at Ukrainian Mobile Communications (now MTS Ukraine) and in 2004 was appointed External Affairs and Communications Director at GlaxoSmithKline with responsibility for Ukraine, Central Asia and the Caucasus. He later launched a Corporate Communications and Public Affairs practice in Kyiv. Mr. Hunder advises multinational corporates on government relations and business development in Ukraine.
Andy studied Philosophy and Theology in Rome, Italy, and speaks fluent Ukrainian, English, Russian, and Italian. He lives in West London with his wife and their two sons.
Dr. Andrew Foxall is Director of the Russia Studies Centre at The Henry Jackson Society. He is responsible for overseeing research and advocacy relating to the study of contemporary politics and the promotion of human rights and political liberty in the Russian Federation.
Andrew is the author of a forthcoming book, Ethnic Relations in Post-Soviet Russia: Russians and Non-Russians in the North Caucasus (Routledge; London and New York) and numerous academic articles. He has spoken in the British Parliament and given briefings to the British Foreign and Commonwealth Office and the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe on the situation in the North Caucasus. He is a frequent contributor to publications including TIME, The National Interest, The Atlantic, The Moscow Times, International Business Times and World Affairs, and has been interviewed by media outlets including the BBC, CNBC, France 24, Sky News and Voice of America.
Andrew holds a BSc (Hons) from the University of Plymouth, an MSc from the University of Birmingham, and a DPhil from the University of Oxford.
The All-Party Parliamentary Group on Transatlantic & International Security aims to research and create awareness about global security issues in order to contribute to an informed and effective British foreign policy, aimed at utilizing and strengthening the Transatlantic Alliance between Europe and the USA.